Hot, breezy, ...and a bit gross out there at 5:16PM. 111F right now, after hitting 115F, with a few 117 -120F neighborhood level readings around 3PM.. With that said, ..what is this i see lurking above the horizon to my east and south? ..Could it be the season's first storms? Afternoon T.C. Satellite view confirms it.. Yes, indeed, weak as they might be, Eastern and southern AZ is lighting up today, with storms knocking on Tucson's doorstep, and some sort of outflow - looking feature trying to set up in the mountains just east of Superior.. Storms nearby = storms for the valley tonight? ..Probably not.. 112+ heat + current position of the 4C High = lots of CIN ( Convective INhibition over the valley atm ) Essentially, when it is this hot, it takes big storms to break through any cap that keeps outflow generated clouds from forming into storms as the outflow moves through. While Dew Points have been rising over the last couple days, they're still below 50 ..Right now at least. That will change shortly. While it isn't in any of the current forecasts, ..and is quite remote, there have been some HRRR runs that have suggested the possibility of isolated brief and weak activity being generated close to the valley / near Casa Grande as outflows from storms to our south ..and/or east.. roll west out of the mountains. At best? ..maybe someone, somewhere on this side of town ...or in C.G. sees a sprinkle / bolt or two. For most? = probably just some breeziness out of the east /south, with maybe some dust and debris clouds in the mix.. As mentioned, it's already been an interesting start to the season ..so.... we'll see whether or not the next couple days yields a couple late night surprises. Similar story for both tomorrow and Thursday ..Gross 112+ heat, some breezes, ..and rising Dew Points ..making gross feel gross -err ..With mainly dry storms roaming the mountains /deserts to our east and south. Headed forward? ..current forecast thoughts offer more optimism ..and actually may be a bit conservative as we reach the start of next week. One thing is for sure. While the 110+ heat should moderate by the weekend as the 4C high starts shifting to our north and east, Dew points will be heading for ...the 60s, if not a bit higher. ..That should help get the ball rolling, storm / rain -wise.