Concern for Leilani Estates as lava moves eastward underground

[Moose]

 

[Dave-Vero]

Hurricane Lane might come close to, or make landfall, on Oahu.  That's an extreme rarity and building codes don't anticipate hurricanes.  The last landfall was Iniki, which hit Kauai almost the same time as Andrew hit south of Miami, with disastrous results.

It's also an unusual hurricane with an "annular" structure, combining very high winds and a very large eye.  This makes for staying power.  (Washington Post, which has an unusually good "weather gang").

 

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

Getting stronger

[Moose]

Big Island may not get the direct hit, but will experience some effects from this strong storm.

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[sur4z]

Unbelievable...

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hawaii-may-face-direct-hit-from-hurricane-lane-to-end-this-week/70005829

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

Published on Aug 22, 2018

I'm under Martial Law in my neighborhood. I can't film inside my subdivision and if I do I can get kicked out of my home during this lava disaster.

[Gonzer]

2 hours ago, Moose said:

 

Published on Aug 22, 2018

I'm under Martial Law in my neighborhood. I can't film inside my subdivision and if I do I can get kicked out of my home during this lava disaster.

What kinda crapola is that?

 

[WestCoastGal]

Popping in to wish all our Hawaiian friends safe passage through Lane. I saw something online that Hawaii has said they don't have enough shelters and people in flood zone areas should consider staying with friends/family who are above the flood zone and waiting it out there. With so much of the islands moutainous I image the drainage could be very dangerous between the water and landslide potential. Those on the islands' west coast, please check back in with us when you can. 

[WestCoastGal]

For those off island and not dealing with hurricane prep, found this fascinating photo album to look through from Mathew Mercury Jones of his home in Pohoiki. His home is near F20. So interesting to see what life is coming back. What are the chances the Bismarkia pictured will survive?  ( https://www.facebook.com/mmercury/posts/10216938139866394 )

 

[WestCoastGal]

Hopefully not pushing this too much today with the typing. Still bothers me if I turn my palm upwards (muscle affected running on the outter side of the wrist--not carpal tunnel but still wearing the brace). Anyway regarding LE and roadblocks and theft within the community, saw this post on fb Hawaii Tracker group by LE Kris Burmeister. This kind of stuff really bothers me to read about. If this is happening under the patrols, what's likely to happen in a week or so anyone can come in. I know LE was looking into setting up electronic gates but having lived in a complex with a rolling auto gate at one entrance and a swing auto gate at the other, it doesn't keep people out who are intent on coming in and the repairs on them can be costly.

 

[WestCoastGal]

Philip is trying to do a Live update but his connection isn't very good. Here's the link should it straighten itself out. His third try so far... ( https://www.facebook.com/phil.hawaii/videos/vb.1293917994/10215984337183296/?type=2&theater )

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[WestCoastGal]

Trying only to read but then see things I thought worth sharing...probably pay for it later tonight! Anyway don't think I saw this mentioned.

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

Scott is streaming live ...

 

[WestCoastGal]

@Moose after watching his video bike ride of Malama and side streets down in the no-go zone from this morning saw mention of his live feed in the comments and noticed it on YT. Only been listening for about 10 minutes. His sound quality is great! Live from Leilani!!! 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

 

[Moose]

4 hours ago, WestCoastGal said:

Popping in to wish all our Hawaiian friends safe passage through Lane. I saw something online that Hawaii has said they don't have enough shelters and people in flood zone areas should consider staying with friends/family who are above the flood zone and waiting it out there. With so much of the islands moutainous I image the drainage could be very dangerous between the water and landslide potential. Those on the islands' west coast, please check back in with us when you can. 

Dean may be towards the western area of the Big Island

[CB Lisa]

Just wanted to add, wishing any of you out there in Hawaii the very best outcome possible with H. Lane approaching and moving on by. Sending much aloha and prayers from Florida...we share great concern for all of your safety and well being. 

[Hilo Jason]

Lots of rain here in Hilo today but very little wind. I don't think we'll get too much of the wind here on this side and I hope and pray for the best for people on the Kona side and Oahu as it appears to be headed that way. 

[realarch]

Lots of rain and eerily dead calm. So far today we’re up to 6.5” (165mm) and it's pouring again. Thanks for the thoughts.

Tim

[Dypsisdean]

4 hours ago, Moose said:

Dean may be towards the western area of the Big Island

Yep - just returned home before schedule this afternoon from a long time planned Tahitian vacation incurring mega-expense and trouble - because for a while the west coast of the Big Island was becoming increasingly likely to take a direct big hit. Only way home was a 27 hour travel ordeal with some scary short connections.

Anyway, the latest has trended away from the scary "life-threatening" scenarios (I had left my elderly in-laws there alone as house sitters) to a continuing uncertain forecast with what looks like a trending away from the worst case. It is slowing down, and that will apparently give some approaching wind shear and other factors a chance to weaken it, and move it in a favorable direction - at least for me.

But, this has been one of those super "challenging" hurricanes to forecast - the track changes have been dramatic, it is still a massive storm, and they are all over the map three days out. And tropical storm force winds (which would be a welcome alternative at this point) are still no picnic.

One thing is certain - the normally calmer west coast of the Big Island and parts of Maui look to be getting some big surf and surge.

[Dave-Vero]

The European track, which has generally been very good in the Atlantic, is looking somewhat encouraging, but it's a big storm with the potential for all sorts of rain.  We've had tropical storm to minimal hurricane winds the past two years, both resulting in serious tree damage at the local botanical garden.  Irma last year produced intense wind damage in the Keys (still housing problems for ordinary residents down there) but the huge spread of lesser wind and rain made for enormously widespread lesser damage and disruption.  Jacksonville had unprecedented flooding.  Not as bad as Houston, but still shocking.  

Sorry about the rushed return from Tahiti.  Last year, I managed to flee Irma with a cheap Southwest flight to Washington D.C.  

[Cindy Adair]

Dean, so glad you were able to get back safely despite the big cost and stress involved and the disappointment at missing your vacation.

 I would rather be here in Puerto Rico during hurricane season to safeguard what I can unless evacuation is recommended of course. 

There are some retirees here who are already boarding up their homes and planning to spend the entire month of September in the States because they were traumatized by Maria's visit last year.

I must admit that I awakened extra early this morning thinking about hurricanes (with a picture in my brain of my first look at dawn after Maria here) and heading to the computer for an update about Lane.

Many of us will be watching for changes in the forecast and thinking of you all!

 

 

[Dr. George]

In Florida heading back to Hawaii today. Hope to beat the storm into Kailua-Kona but may end up spending the night in Denver if the connecting flight gets cancelled. Storm is moving more slowly so now predicted off South Point (Big Island) 8 PM tonight, so I might still be able to get home before it hits. Prediction has the path moved a little more westerly than earlier predictions, but still should get a lot of rain and winds of 40 mph or greater. Wife and farm staff spent Tues and Wed getting things sheltered, boarded up and tied down. Lot of overnight rain - 3 inches Tuesday night, too early to tell what it will total Wednesday night. - gmp