What is your current yard temperature?

[Foxpalms]

2 hours ago, ego said:

Do your plants have any issues with such low humidity?

It depends how hot the day is, but during heatwaves certain plants can get scorched even with watering multiple times a day such as the chamedoreas.

[Axel Amsterdam]

3 hours ago, Foxpalms said:

It depends how hot the day is, but during heatwaves certain plants can get scorched even with watering multiple times a day such as the chamedoreas.

Do you know how the weather app of the city of London on the iphone measures the temperature, the UV and the humidity? This is London at 14.30 local time

UV 5

humidity above 60 percent

temp 19C

[Tyrone]

13 hours ago, sandgroper said:

We got none at all mate but today is much better, a reasonable amount this morning. 

I hope you got some today. It’s been raining here constant since dawn. Close to 25mm and the radar is showing the rain stalled right over us. It’s a good soaking that we need. My billabongs are filling right up. 

[Foxpalms]

4 hours ago, Axel Amsterdam said:

Do you know how the weather app of the city of London on the iphone measures the temperature, the UV and the humidity? This is London at 14.30 local time

UV 5

humidity above 60 percent

temp 19C

No, but that app isn't accurate for London's weather. During the coldest night of the year the temperature forecased is always way below what it turns out to be. Todays high was only 20c and the city of London is slightly further east of here and slightly cooler during the day in the summer. The UV was 6 at 2pm according to the Metoffice. The humidity around 2.30 was probably about 61% which is unusually high for this time of the year. The low for humidity today was 58%. The max UV index was a 7 that I recorded which is the same as the Metoffice forecast. My guess would be maybe London city airport but I'm not sure for the live weather data, the forecast however is always quite a bit off on the apple weather app.

Edited May 31, 2023 by Foxpalms

[sandgroper]

Currently 15c and sunny at 9.30am heading for a top of 19c on this first day of winter. We finished up getting some great heavy rain yesterday with hopefully some more to come later today.

[UK_Palms]

Max of 20.1C / 68F here on Tuesday although 25C / 77F was reached in places. Cloud cover and a cool breeze off the North Sea has been suppressing daytime temperatures on the eastern coasts especially. Western coasts have been a fair bit warmer and a similar thing is happening today as well. A max of 20.6C / 69F by the looks of things here.

 

A terrifying fire has ravaged the Scottish Highlands and resulted in evacuations, as well as firefighters being airlifted to hospital with injuries. It has destroyed over 7,000 hectares, which is equivalent to about 8,500 football (soccer) pitches in volume. Multiple helicopters have been engaging it.

 

Fires burning near Sheffield...

 

Marsden on fire again...

 

There appears to be a fire in Verwood Forest, Dorset as well...

 

The latest extended rainfall charts show not a single drop of rain in southeast England and London between now & 16th June. So that would be at least 5 weeks without any precipitation whatsoever for me here, as I haven't had any rain for 19 days now. The second a proper heat plume (30C) arrives from the south this summer, it will be utter chaos with wildfires. The GFS has high pressure blocking in full control out to June 16th. Perhaps this summer, I will have even less rainfall than @Tyrone had last summer!? 

Edited June 1, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Silas_Sancona]

June 1st, and about as nice as June 1st will be in the Low Desert... 





Tucson...



Will Sky Harbor break the low high for the day??





As for the " more typical " nuke fest we should be sliding into about now?...  Yeah, it will warm up a little region-wide by the latter half of the weekend ahead, ..but still on the low end of the Summer Thermostat. 





As for the arrival of our  " Real " heat???   ....Tic Tok,  Tic Tok



More later...

[DTS]

help its hot

[sandgroper]

Currently 11c at 9.00am heading for a cool sunny top of 18c. Somme very wet and cold days ahead next week, winter is here.

[The Palm Nut]

 

Looking good for today!

 

[UK_Palms]

Max of 22.1C / 72F on Friday afternoon. Cloudy to begin with, but clear skies by early afternoon. I should reach 23C / 74F later today with clear skies.

 

The big wildfire in northern Scotland still isn't contained properly.

 

Crews battled a wildfire about 6 miles northwest of my location yesterday too, near Aldershot...

 

The ground is rapidly drying out now. How long will it take to get into a scenario like we had last summer...? Another 6-8 weeks probably. These photos were taken in Cornwall...

 

22 days (3+ weeks) since my last rainfall. That is up to 26-27 days for some places. Latest ECMWF rainfall charts have nothing in the forecast out as far as it will go, which is 10 days.

 

If anything, the Mediterranean (Csb) pattern only strengthens / establishes even further as we continue into June. Very aggressive Csb conditions indeed. The most amplified in Europe for the start of meteorological summer, in terms of rainfall suppression.

 

ECMWF model is also signalling temperatures up to and above 30C / 85F next weekend. Despite the dry, sunny conditions in recent weeks, there has been nothing above 25C / 77F so far.

 

MetDesk forecast model for next weekend shows 32C / 90F in parts of southern England. Next weekend will likely be pretty hot, amplifying the drought and wildfire situation.

 

I will create a new thread for the UK summer and fires as to not keep clogging this one up, now that dramatic climatic events are transpiring in this part of the world...

Edited June 3, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Foxpalms]

Min of 50f/10c max of 24c/75f with 35% humidity. The max UV index was an 8. Next week's it's finally supposed to warm up. Lots of patches of brown dead grass now. Its currently 71f at 7pm. The water temperature in London near London city airport is 17.7c at 2m deep and 15c 7m deep.

Edited June 4, 2023 by Foxpalms

[Foxpalms]

38 minutes ago, Foxpalms said:

Min of 50f/10c max of 24c/75f with 35% humidity. The max UV index was an 8. Next week's it's finally supposed to warm up. Lots of patches of brown dead grass now. Its currently 71f at 7pm. The water temperature in London near London city airport is 17.7c at 2m deep and 15c 7m deep.

The forecasted temperatures are even higher now.

Edited June 4, 2023 by Foxpalms

[UK_Palms]

Max of 25.7C / 78F here on Sunday. Another PWS on my street came in at 26C / 79F. Not a single cloud in the sky all day. We’re also now at 24 days since the last drop of rain here. It’s absolute tinderbox dry now.

London forecast for this week. Every day is warmer and sunnier than Los Angeles.

Los Angeles for comparison… 👀

 

Temperatures should reach into the 90’s F around solstice this year. Potentially much higher, so this needs monitoring. The first proper burst of ‘heat’ should arrive on Friday or Saturday and could last for some time. Some models have already been showing 37C / 100F for London around mid-month, but that is to be taken with a pinch of salt.

Edited June 5, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Silas_Sancona]

A toasty 95F at 10:34AM w/ some high thin cloud cover passing overhead.  On the way to 105F / 105+ in town / around the rest of the Valley later, unless cloud thickness slows down the climb up..

Down a little tomorrow, even bigger drop in temps mid-week as the Upper Level Low currently approaching Cen. Cal. oens up and sends some cool-ish air our way.. No rain expected, except maybe in a few spots in the high country, way to our north. Muted, early June heat continues beyond Friday. We'll see how long that lasts. A bit more consistency in current GFS Model run thoughts suggesting our more typical heat may be looming on the horizon just beyond mid month..  We'll see.



For the time being, to our west, this weird ( for June ) Wx pattern of late may spawn some warm season Thunderstorm activity over a wide area of the state. 



When it comes to " ideal " Upper Level Low positioning  ..to bring decent chances of Thunderstorm activity west into the Bay Area / other ..more coastal areas of Cen. Cal. the current, suggested position is about as "... in the sweet spot "   as it gets..  In the past, any time i saw a similar forecast set up show up out there, i was on cloud and thunderstorm watch / had the camera ready to go.



Some activity may extend into S. Cal, though the position of this particular " storm " isn't exactly ideal to bring the right amounts of widespread dynamics south of Point Conception ..for now anyway..  Low shifts a little more south before moving on, the southland could see some electricity too..  Regardless, the region should see ~ at least ~  some shower activity / isolated storms in favored spots..

Believe it or not but another Upper Level Low may try to form somewhere over the state once this one moves on, before a possible pattern shift ..Same one that may crank up the Thermostat here later. 

In the mean time, w/ a just past full moon in the sky over the next few nights, plus interesting cloud -scapes / possible storm activity, ...and less Fog cover in near coastal spots / along the coast.... -at times at least-   Great opportunity for some excellent photos / exploring storm photography.. 

I'd be looking over known and new out-of -the-city viewing spots somewhere above San Jose to head to later  if still out there right now.  No doubt some of the CA Storm Chase / Landscape Photog crews will be roaming around later. 

As unusual as it is for the time of year,  enjoy this " something different / change of pace " weather over the next couple days..

[Silas_Sancona]

1 hour ago, Silas_Sancona said:

For the time being, to our west, this weird ( for June ) Wx pattern of late may spawn some warm season Thunderstorm activity over a wide area of the state. 



When it comes to " ideal " Upper Level Low positioning  ..to bring decent chances of Thunderstorm activity west into the Bay Area / other ..more coastal areas of Cen. Cal. the current, suggested position is about as "... in the sweet spot "   as it gets..  In the past, any time i saw a similar forecast set up show up out there, i was on cloud and thunderstorm watch / had the camera ready to go.



Some activity may extend into S. Cal, though the position of this particular " storm " isn't exactly ideal to bring the right amounts of widespread dynamics south of Point Conception ..for now anyway..  Low shifts a little more south before moving on, the southland could see some electricity too..  Regardless, the region should see ~ at least ~  some shower activity / isolated storms in favored spots..

In the mean time, w/ a just past full moon in the sky over the next few nights, plus interesting cloud -scapes / possible storm activity, ...and less Fog cover in near coastal spots / along the coast.... -at times at least-   Great opportunity for some excellent photos / exploring storm photography.. 

As unusual as it is for the time of year,  enjoy this " something different / change of pace " weather over the next couple days..

....Ask, and you may receive. 

T storms starting to bubble up over Monterrey Bay / Peninsula,  Mountains east of San Luis Obispo, and  Sierras..  More to come.

Current 24 step C.O. D. provided " True Color " Satellite view


 

[sandgroper]

Currently 12c at 10.00am heading for an exceptionally cold and wet top of only 14c. Plenty of localised flooding around too.

[sandgroper]

Perth has recorded 117mm of rain in 24 hours, that is a very impressive amount of water for this part of the world and there's more to come. 

[Tyrone]

Min 7C and a max of 9.1C. One of the coldest days I’ve experienced here. Lots of rain and frigid winds with the odd bit of hail. Most of the day it sat around 8C. Too cold. 

[UK_Palms]

Only 18C / 64F here at midday here. Coldest day in a while and much cloudier than recent days too, although it should burn off this afternoon with temps reaching 21C / 70F. Temperatures can peak around 6pm now as the days are so long.

A heat injection is arriving in a few days time with the possible chance of thunderstorms too…

25 days since my last rainfall. Despite the deluge of rainfall in March and April, the grass is heavily stressed and yellowing badly again now. The ground is bone dry down to around 4 inches. Full on drought conditions are now established pretty widely. Even if we do get a few showers this weekend, it will take a heck of a lot more to replenish the deficit over the past few weeks.

There are still question marks about just how hot and dry the rest of the month will be. Some of he GEFS models have been showing mid 30’s C / mid 90’s F for London area around solstice.

Edited June 6, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Samuel]

2 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

Only 18C / 64F here at midday here. Coldest day in a while and much cloudier than recent days too, although it should burn off this afternoon with temps reaching 21C / 70F. Temperatures can peak around 6pm now as the days are so long.

A heat injection is arriving in a few days time with the possible chance of thunderstorms too…

25 days since my last rainfall. Despite the deluge of rainfall in March and April, the grass is heavily stressed and yellowing badly again now. The ground is bone dry down to around 4 inches. Full on drought conditions are now established pretty widely. Even if we do get a few showers this weekend, it will take a heck of a lot more to replenish the deficit over the past few weeks.

There are still question marks about just how hot and dry the rest of the month will be. Some of he GEFS models have been showing mid 30’s C / mid 90’s F for London area around solstice.

Tbh I don’t think the outlook looks that great any heat has been modified for the weekend we may see a 25/26 but it’s gonna be accompanied but lots of cloud and potential thunder beyond that it looks mixed but I don’t see signs of any heatwave I don’t think we will be seeing 30c anytime soon 

[UK_Palms]

Maxed out at 21.1C / 70F in the end. My coolest day for about a week or so, but it is only going to get warmer again from here on.

 

3 hours ago, Samuel said:

Tbh I don’t think the outlook looks that great any heat has been modified for the weekend we may see a 25/26 but it’s gonna be accompanied but lots of cloud and potential thunder beyond that it looks mixed but I don’t see signs of any heatwave I don’t think we will be seeing 30c anytime soon 

The German ICON has come into range now and is showing 29-30C / 85F on Saturday. If that is correct, I would expect somewhere like Heathrow or Kew to maybe reach 31C / 88F possibly. It will obviously be dependent on cloud cover and whether any potential thunderstorms stay at bay. There is still a fair bit of uncertainty.

French ARPEGE is in range too now and showing 29-30C as well. This model and the ICON above are the two best short range models in Europe.

Any thunderstorms will be hit and miss. I’m not going to expect any rainfall here, but some spots will probably get some on Sunday. It will mostly be in western areas however. I could get nothing here, but down the road they could get a deluge. Or nobody gets any rain at all in southeast England. Hard to say right now. The rain is much needed though given the current dry spell with many places going 4 weeks without a single drop of rain.

This current spell will likely break a UK-wide record before it is over. Often these spring-summer droughts are confined to southeast/southern/eastern England, similar to what we had last summer, however this one is affecting the entirety of the UK pretty much. There will probably be a new record for the most consecutive days across the whole of the UK with <0.2mm of rainfall. However some of the driest parts have obviously gone about a month without a drop of rain now.

 

Make the most of any rain you do get this weekend, as that may be it for summer. The latest ECMWF summer forecast has just dropped and shows a very conducive setup for incredibly aggressive warm-summer Med conditions in southeast England. Arguably even more aggressive than last year. This would result in a total precipitation block in southeast England especially. It would also be very hot as well in July and August. Given how warm the SST’s are, I wouldn’t rule out another 40C / 105F Saharan plume. Late July / early August will be an absolute inferno.

 

@Tyrone What was your summer rainfall total to beat? I’m sure it was either 23mm or 13mm…?

Edited June 6, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Silas_Sancona]

A warm, ..but reasonable... 96F w/ a fresh breeze at times ( ..Making it feel a little cooler, in the shade esp. ) 

Steady sailing, for now at least..  How- Long- Can- It- Last-🤔




@JLM  I know you see it too ..You know,  the thing,  ...over there,  next to the other thing(s), haha..   ...Guess the " Morning, after a late evening " antics  has began for the GFS already..

Oh what an interesting summer it may be.. 

...I'll take today's 18z "thoughts" for  $10 bucks Alex..













 

[Silas_Sancona]

5 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

A warm, ..but reasonable... 96F w/ a fresh breeze at times ( ..Making it feel a little cooler, in the shade esp. ) 

Steady sailing, for now at least..  How- Long- Can- It- Last-🤔




@JLM  I know you see it too ..You know,  the thing,  ...over there,  next to the other thing(s), haha..   ...Guess the " Morning, after a late evening " antics  has began for the GFS already..

Oh what an interesting summer it may be.. 

...I'll take today's 18z "thoughts" for  $10 bucks Alex..













 

Tonight's just completed 00Z GFS:

Uh huh..  Yep..  🦄  land perhaps




 Mr Bill / Gingerbread Cookie man from Shrek voice:   ...Oohh boy..  😬 



Should add:  Anything at/over 594dam on the Geo. potential height / anomaly charts in my earlier post ( the high pressure area attempting to set up over the southwest in 4 out of the 5 charts i posted as well ),  588 / 588+ on the 1000-500dam Thickness chart ( first picture in this post ) = Torch Fest,  ..if..   it comes to fruition.  Need a few more days of consistency to trust this outcome a little more..  Know it's arrival is inevitable, but 😬

[JLM]

5 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

A warm, ..but reasonable... 96F w/ a fresh breeze at times ( ..Making it feel a little cooler, in the shade esp. ) 

Steady sailing, for now at least..  How- Long- Can- It- Last-🤔




@JLM  I know you see it too ..You know,  the thing,  ...over there,  next to the other thing(s), haha..   ...Guess the " Morning, after a late evening " antics  has began for the GFS already..

Oh what an interesting summer it may be.. 

...I'll take today's 18z "thoughts" for  $10 bucks Alex..













 

Ive been following it, watching as it enters the 240 hours range, which will allow for other models to show something if they ever will. 

The 12z Euro from today has this vorticity coming off South America like the GFS does. CMC has it too. Theres some big differences though between the 12z GFS and ECMWF. The GFS has a weaker ridge and a trough that digs deep in the eastern CONUS. The ECMWF has a stronger ridge and a trough that continues sliding eastward instead of digging south and eventually getting cut off like the GFS shows. Because of the weak ridge on the GFS, it allows this vorticity to be pulled northward and to develop. The Euro with a stronger ridge would suggest that it would cross over into the EPAC and maybe develop there. Now, you probably know this, the GFS has a weak ridge bias and the ECMWF has a strong ridge bias. If you take a happy medium of the two solutions, you would likely end up getting something that gets buried into Central America. Would be quite the rainmaker for that part of the world.

In the end, its definitely something ive been watching, but nothing concerning right now. If more models begin to pick up on it, itll have more merit. One thing im shocked about though is the consistency from the GFS in terms of showing development. Should be taken with caution though, as the GFS did this very thing last season, showed something from the 16 day mark almost up to the 7 day mark, then it magically went poof. Nothing ever happened. Im expecting that to happen, but i guess we will see. The pattern, if the GFS were correct, would generally support development, but likely not of the magnitude the model has been depicting. Climatology also favors the EPAC more at the moment.

For the 0z models, the CMC has a ridge extending out toward the western half of Cuba, which would prevent something from moving north despite a trough over the SE CONUS. The 0z GFS has a ridge that ends up breaking apart, allowing something to get pulled north. This is really a wait and see thing. I will be watching the new ECMWF as it comes in (just started), gonna be watching the 500 mb pattern in particular.

[Silas_Sancona]

17 minutes ago, JLM said:

Ive been following it, watching as it enters the 240 hours range, which will allow for other models to show something if they ever will. 

The 12z Euro from today has this vorticity coming off South America like the GFS does. CMC has it too. Theres some big differences though between the 12z GFS and ECMWF. The GFS has a weaker ridge and a trough that digs deep in the eastern CONUS. The ECMWF has a stronger ridge and a trough that continues sliding eastward instead of digging south and eventually getting cut off like the GFS shows. Because of the weak ridge on the GFS, it allows this vorticity to be pulled northward and to develop. The Euro with a stronger ridge would suggest that it would cross over into the EPAC and maybe develop there. Now, you probably know this, the GFS has a weak ridge bias and the ECMWF has a strong ridge bias. If you take a happy medium of the two solutions, you would likely end up getting something that gets buried into Central America. Would be quite the rainmaker for that part of the world.

In the end, its definitely something ive been watching, but nothing concerning right now. If more models begin to pick up on it, itll have more merit. One thing im shocked about though is the consistency from the GFS in terms of showing development. Should be taken with caution though, as the GFS did this very thing last season, showed something from the 16 day mark almost up to the 7 day mark, then it magically went poof. Nothing ever happened. Im expecting that to happen, but i guess we will see. The pattern, if the GFS were correct, would generally support development, but likely not of the magnitude the model has been depicting. Climatology also favors the EPAC more at the moment.

For the 0z models, the CMC has a ridge extending out toward the western half of Cuba, which would prevent something from moving north despite a trough over the SE CONUS. The 0z GFS has a ridge that ends up breaking apart, allowing something to get pulled north. This is really a wait and see thing. I will be watching the new ECMWF as it comes in (just started), gonna be watching the 500 mb pattern in particular.

Agree completely regarding each model suite's bias, and that ..for now, at least,  this / these  scenarios are more fantasy land than actuality ..Mere enticing eye candy for those of us who glare at these things ..watching.. 

And yes, lol.. with how awfully bad the GFS was last year ( and this year, in some cases, thus far )  Gotta see ..what it is thinking.. start to show up ~consistently~ on the other models also before " GFS Thoughts ",  turn into believable things ...so to say..   Even if it does develop, and heads into Cen. America ..or even E. Mexico, hopefully it will knock the overall pattern around enough to get things moving as they should be, instead of the wack-a-do pattern of late.. Im actually surprised the GFS is being a touch more consistent with " something " lately, compared to it's episode of  some pretty wild, -completely opposite outcome- individual runs not too long ago.

Just figured i'd make a humorous " I know you see ..tha thing,  too "  reference.

[tropicbreeze]

Bit of a warm night, was still 25.2c at 4 am, but dipped to 23.3c around 7 am. Yesterday was also a bit above average, 35.3c with today expected a little higher. There's rain to our north, although well off the coast. Likely it will hit Timor but not us. Oh well, have to be satisfied with a chance of rain in about 4 months.

 

[sandgroper]

Heading for a rainy top of 19c today, it's been a fantastic wet start to winter so far.

[UK_Palms]

Currently 25.7C / 78F at 4pm here today. Crystal clear skies and not a single cloud out there this afternoon.

 

It will likely reach 30C / 85F in London this weekend, maybe even higher, depending on cloud cover and any potential thunderstorms. Places like Heathrow and Kew may see 31C / 88F.

Potentially looking at the first 32C+ / 90F+ temps of the year on Saturday in places. 31C / 88F is modelled for me here and some spots may potentially reach 33-34C / 93F.

No respite from the fires still. 27 days since my last rainfall now. That is up to 31 days for the driest locations. There is a chance of thunderstorms over the weekend but I’m not counting on anything here. It’s only about 30-40% chance where I am currently. The first week of summer has finished bone dry.

Edited June 8, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Foxpalms]

Min of 52f/11c and a max of 75f/24c with 39% humidity. The max UV index was an 8.  The weekend looks pretty warm with an overnight low of 19c on Saturday/Sunday morning. London Heathrow is forecasted to be 30c.

[UK_Palms]

1 hour ago, Foxpalms said:

Min of 52f/11c and a max of 75f/24c with 39% humidity. The max UV index was an 8.  The weekend looks pretty warm with an overnight low of 19c on Saturday/Sunday morning. London Heathrow is forecasted to be 30c.

Look at the difference between London and Los Angeles. Likely 12C / 25F warmer over the weekend if it does reach 30C / 86F… 👀

[Foxpalms]

6 minutes ago, UK_Palms said:

Look at the difference between London and Los Angeles. Likely 12C / 25F warmer over the weekend if it does reach 30C / 86F… 👀

The overnight lows here also tend to be higher than the forecast.  I'm going to have to stock up on citronella candles, there's already plenty of mosquitoes around and by next week there's likely going to be a lot more around. The Metoffice forecast is showing the highest temperatures around northolt without a forecasted high of 30c. I will be watching that area closely, as some of the towns around that area seem to be at a lower elevation than the hills surrounding them and always show higher temperatures than London Heathrow during heatwaves on wundergound.

[Foxpalms]

Min of 54f/12.2c and a max of 81f/27c with 47% humidity. The max UV index was an 8. The max dew point today was 60f. 13.2 sunshine hours today with some cloud this morning and clear skies for the rest of the day ☀️.  It looks like the British fire brigade will be receiving proper training for dealing with wildfires. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-65848872.amp. Some of the smoke from the wildfires in Canada has headed over here hence why is air quality was moderate today for air pollution. There were a few wildfires today.

Edited June 9, 2023 by Foxpalms

[Silas_Sancona]

A warm -but decent for June 9th- 86F at 7:57PM as some high clouds roll back in.

Warmer tomorrow, but the heat gets cut off again to end the weekend as another dry cutoff low rolls through to start the new week. May not breach 95F on Monday, or 100 on Tuesday. 



Enjoy it, because it  is looking more and more likely our typical June heat starts settling in by next weekend. From then on it isn't a question that the heat will get cranked up ..it's a matter of just how quickly we go from a long, drawn out pattern of warm, but tolerable temps. ..with some extra heat sprinkled in at times, to a sudden Nuke fest.. 

We are approaching the middle of June so seeing the first stretch of 107+ heat set in isn't atypical. This year being -this year- however,  a quick ratcheting up of the heat  ..Say a stretch of Temps in the 109-111+ range for 3-5+ days, could be a tougher adjustment for everything, after a long and mild - by desert standards- spring / start of Meteorological Summer..

We'll see what happens, but GFS model runs are now pretty consistent w/ a quick ramp up of the heat after mid week..   Will lower end #s,  ...in the 107-111F range pan out,  ...or could we see some of the more extreme #'s that have been suggested in various Model Runs at times?..  ( ...115, 117, 118F )

To get to the other side ( ..Getting the Monsoon season circulation cranking ) we need that kind of heat,  but, the stretch of road between could be a bit rougher than usual this year.. 

Lets hope it doesn't too take long to get there...

[Foxpalms]

Min of 60f/15.5c, max of 90f/32.2c recorded on my weather station with 30% humidity. The max UV index was an 8. A few weather stations in London did record a UV index of 9. There was no rain here today, all the thunderstorms missed by about 35-40 miles.  The max dew point was 60f this morning before the humidity dropped. The forecast for tomorrow has been increased to 31c for parts of London. The ground is getting very dry now in places. The Metoffice fire severity index is currently at a very high. There again has been quite a few fires today across the UK.

[UK_Palms]

Max of 33.9C / 93F here this afternoon. Pretty humid as well with a heat index of 38C / 100F. Summer is well and truly here.

 

28.3C in my bedroom at the time of taking this photo, 33.5C outdoors and 29.3C in my garage.

 

On 6/6/2023 at 2:49 PM, Samuel said:

Tbh I don’t think the outlook looks that great any heat has been modified for the weekend we may see a 25/26 but it’s gonna be accompanied but lots of cloud and potential thunder beyond that it looks mixed but I don’t see signs of any heatwave I don’t think we will be seeing 30c anytime soon 

Well this didn't age too well did it, Samuel. 30C / 86F will likely be achieved over the next 6-7 consecutive days now. Chertsey in my county of Surrey was the warmest spot on an official Met Office station with 32.2C / 90F. Quite widespread 30C+ / 86F+ temps across southeast England. Likely rinse and repeat again tomorrow.

 

No thunderstorms here, so I have now gone 29 days without a single drop of rain. The grass has really deteriorated quite rapidly over the past week or two.

 

Scenes from Inverness in northern Scotland this evening, as they endure their worst wildfires on record pretty much,

Edited June 10, 2023 by UK_Palms

[Foxpalms]

@UK_PalmsThe netweather gfs run is showing 40-41c for northern France for the end of June.  Whilst at the moment the chance of that happening is low, the signs for a potentially very hot summer are there.

[Foxpalms]

Its currently 4.50am, just after sunrise and the low last night was 67f/19.5c with 68% humidity. In other terms the low last night was warmer than Los Angeles forecasted high for today! The sky was crystal clear all night. The forecasted chance of rain for today has been reduced to 10%.

[Arecaceus]

Almost 26°C already at 8:30 a.m.. Today's high is supposed to be 30°C. The last 2 weeks have been like the weeks before just sunny all day long but the temperatures are increasing. 🌡️ UV index hit 9 and currently were having 16 hours of sunshine everyday. ☀️ I measured over 33°C yesterday. And temperatures all above 30 the last couple of days. It got a bit more muggy though. Rain is very much needed. 🌵 Thunderstorms that were supposed to occur didn't come 'round. This night's low has been 20.6°C. 🌴

[Samuel]

10 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

Max of 33.9C / 93F here this afternoon. Pretty humid as well with a heat index of 38C / 100F. Summer is well and truly here.

 

28.3C in my bedroom at the time of taking this photo, 33.5C outdoors and 29.3C in my garage.

 

Well this didn't age too well did it, Samuel. 30C / 86F will likely be achieved over the next 6-7 consecutive days now. Chertsey in my county of Surrey was the warmest spot on an official Met Office station with 32.2C / 90F. Quite widespread 30C+ / 86F+ temps across southeast England. Likely rinse and repeat again tomorrow.

 

No thunderstorms here, so I have now gone 29 days without a single drop of rain. The grass has really deteriorated quite rapidly over the past week or two.

 

Scenes from Inverness in northern Scotland this evening, as they endure their worst wildfires on record pretty much,

Yes I was wrong haha it’s been a nice start to June I recorded 30 Celsius here expecting the same today tho I’m still not convinced this summer will be a hot one I have a feeling that this hot spell will be the highlight of summer for the uk with the high pressure system moving east allowing low pressure to sit over us