Southern Hemisphere winter now gone. Hello spring.

[Tyrone]

It’s always good to say goodbye to winter.

Goodbye winter.

[sandgroper]

Agree with that Tyrone!

[cbmnz]

Indeed. Though who knows what's coming with this crazy strong Southerrn SSW in progress.

Nice here today, hit 18C with no wind, but a lot of showery weather starting from tomorrow.. The native Kowhai have flowered early this year. At 10s is one of only three outdoor Howea that I know of growing in this basin. With the place now being for sale figured that made it ok to video and post this garden.

 

 

[greysrigging]

Spring has sprung in Fitzroy Crossing...

[GottmitAlex]

8 hours ago, greysrigging said:

Spring has sprung in Fitzroy Crossing...

Incredible. 

Well things such as they are, we never had a spring. We had a prolonged cool winter that turned into summer late May.

Hope our summer is as prolonged as our past winter.

[greysrigging]

The harbinger of Doom in an Australian Spring..... Aussies and Kiwis will understand.....lol !

 

 

Edited September 2, 2019 by greysrigging

[Tyrone]

11 hours ago, greysrigging said:

Spring has sprung in Fitzroy Crossing...

Looks like a hot summer is coming up then. Will we get increased monsoonal cyclonic activity this year?  They make for good growing years in the south as the spin off thunderstorm activity and humidity comes much further south in years with good monsoons in the north. Good lightening shows too which is always enjoyable with a beer on the patio. 

[Tyrone]

Forecast 28C max tomorrow with low to mid twenties for the entire week with dewpoints in the mid to high teens. What is goin on?

[sandgroper]

Nine days into spring and temps like this already!

[Tyrone]

29C in albany. Temps take a dive on Sunday. Back to winter with a 12C max. 

[greysrigging]

We had our first +36c temp of the 'build up' today. Humidity was low so didn't feel 'build uppy' to me', but there were people commenting about the heat today.....

Edited September 9, 2019 by greysrigging

[tropicbreeze]

Our average maximum for September so far (only a week in) is 35.8, highest is 37.5 and lowest 34.9.

[GottmitAlex]

Wow guys. I believe we are arriving at the zone of convergence:

31C high /16C low

 

[sandgroper]

[greysrigging]

I did a little research on Darwin Airport September extremes....
 So.... some interesting stats re Darwin Airport +36c temps in September
There have been 42 September days exceeding 36c since 1941.
1940's - 0 days
1950's - 4 days
1960's - 3 days
1970's - 5 days
1980's - 7 days
1990's - 8 days
2000's - 7 days
2010's - 8 days so far.
And individually 31 years since 1941 have recorded +36c in September.
So not unheard of but up there in the 95th percentile of Sept maximums.
Record is 37.7c in 1983.

[sandgroper]

I haven't been to Darwin for years, it's a great place, I've got to go back. 

[greysrigging]

12 minutes ago, sandgroper said:

I haven't been to Darwin for years, it's a great place, I've got to go back. 

Bit ratty looking now at the end of a long dry season.... not a lot of watering done in my street.......

 

[Tyrone]

It feels like Lord Howe Island this morning. 14.8C cloudy and humid with sun breaking thru the clouds.

[greysrigging]

47 minutes ago, Tyrone said:

It feels like Lord Howe Island this morning. 14.8C cloudy and humid with sun breaking thru the clouds.

I worked on Lord Howe and Norfolk back in 2002 and 2003. Norfolk in Feb was the worst imaginable humidity.... first 2 days there was a complete low cloud cover / misty drizzle. My accommodation quarters ( no aircons over there back then ) had condensation and dew dripping off the inside walls, the bedclothes felt damp and fog tendrils wafted in through the front door and out the back door like a scene from a horror movie.... never seen anything like before or since. Working out in it was pretty ordinary too, not cold, but very uncomfortable.

[Tyrone]

8 hours ago, greysrigging said:

I worked on Lord Howe and Norfolk back in 2002 and 2003. Norfolk in Feb was the worst imaginable humidity.... first 2 days there was a complete low cloud cover / misty drizzle. My accommodation quarters ( no aircons over there back then ) had condensation and dew dripping off the inside walls, the bedclothes felt damp and fog tendrils wafted in through the front door and out the back door like a scene from a horror movie.... never seen anything like before or since. Working out in it was pretty ordinary too, not cold, but very uncomfortable.

What were you installing there. That looks wet slippery and highly dangerous.

[greysrigging]

It was wet, it was slippery and it was dangerous, but 17 years ago I was younger and dumber and thought I was bullet proof.... lol. Oh, and a contractor as opposed to wage earner....
This was a communications satellite dish for Telstra on the Island. Prior to the Antenna, they used an old unreliable sub sea cable.


And being a palm forum.... haha ( my accommodation on Norfolk )

[cbmnz]

Interesting, apparently this snow was not forecast

https://www.abc.net.au/news/20...-after-hot-spring-day/11519280

Debate as to whether it could be related to the SSW in progress 

[Tyrone]

Had a wild night with hail and high winds. Looking at a max around 13C today. Cold.

[sandgroper]

Freezing in Perth today, high of around 15c and raining!

[greysrigging]

8 hours ago, Tyrone said:

Had a wild night with hail and high winds. Looking at a max around 13C today. Cold.

Crikey ! only 8.8c at 3.50pm this arvo ! That's a cold day anywhere in Australia ! !
6.6c at Jacup and 7.6c at Katanning ! Any snow on the Stirlings today ?

 

Edited September 19, 2019 by greysrigging

[Tyrone]

It was blimmin cold. Don’t know if any snow fell on the Stirlings. It would have been a horrible trek up there to find out.

[tropicbreeze]

[Tyrone]

Darwin’s heating up.

Spring equinox today. 

Still cold and dreary down here.

Good Juania weather.

[greysrigging]

7 hours ago, Tyrone said:

Darwin’s heating up.

Spring equinox today. 

Still cold and dreary down here.

Good Juania weather.

Still not too bad in the City, those blokes out Noonamah and Humpty Doo do it way harder than us Townies. 5c difference between the coastal suburbs and the rural areas only 30 or 40 klm inland.
 

DARWIN 7-DAY WEATHER FORECAST

Summary	Sun Sep 22		Mon Sep 23		Tue Sep 24		Wed Sep 25		Thu Sep 26		Fri Sep 27		Sat Sep 28
	Sunny		Mostly sunny		Mostly sunny		Sunny		Sunny		Sunny		Sunny
Maximum	33°C		33°C		33°C		34°C		33°C		34°C		33°C
Minimum	22°C		23°C		23°C		23°C		22°C		22°C		22°C
Chance of Rain	50%		30%		50%		20%		30%		40%		40%
Rain Amount	< 1mm		< 1mm		1-5mm		< 1mm		< 1mm		1-5mm		< 1mm
UV Index	Extreme		Extreme		Extreme		Extreme
Frost Risk	Nil		Nil		Nil		Nil		Nil		Nil		Nil

[Tyrone]

Spring is back. 26C today.

[tropicbreeze]

[greysrigging]

Pushing 40c out Noony way late next week.
From available digitised BOM stats from three different recording sites, that is close to record breaking  maximum temps for October.
http://www.bom.gov.au/nt/forecasts/noonamah.shtml
The AWS at Noonamah Store had a 40.8c in Oct 2009. The recordings nowadays are taken at the Airstrip a coupla kilometers away.

[Tyrone]

The BOM long range forecasts are in for the remainder of spring and summer and its basically saying we are in for a blistering hot and dry summer.  Just what we dont need. 

80% chance of above median temps for virtually the entire country. 

[sandgroper]

Mid spring.....

[tropicbreeze]

The average maximum temperature for the first half of October has been 38.6C. The outlook for the next week isn't much different. In about two weeks the sun will be directly overhead.

There's rain on the horizon but still a long way out.

Official rainfall outlook:
88% chance of at least 1mm rain last half October
64% chance of at least 5mm rain last half October
100% chance of at least 15mm rain for November
64% chance of at least 100mm rain for November
100% chance of at least 300mm rain for the 3 months Nov. Dec. Jan.
71% chance of at least 700mm rain for the 3 months Nov. Dec. Jan.

[tropicbreeze]

Forecast has unfortunately been revised. Well, fortunate to be forewarned, unfortunate if it eventuates.

[greysrigging]

1 hour ago, tropicbreeze said:

Forecast has unfortunately been revised. Well, fortunate to be forewarned, unfortunate if it eventuates.

That's probably up there with record maximums for October..... not a lot of digitised stats on line for Noony, but to have 41c forecast...... close to a record for sure.

[Silas_Sancona]

On 10/7/2019 at 7:19 PM, Tyrone said:

The BOM long range forecasts are in for the remainder of spring and summer and its basically saying we are in for a blistering hot and dry summer.  Just what we dont need. 

80% chance of above median temps for virtually the entire country. 

I was just about to inquire about this. Had seen similar suggestions for the Australian summer from forecasters I follow here in the US. Also saw the Indian Ocean Diapole is apparently flirting with record positive territory atm, which, id assume adds more credit to the BOMs thoughts. 

[greysrigging]

4 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

I was just about to inquire about this. Had seen similar suggestions for the Australian summer from forecasters I follow here in the US. Also saw the Indian Ocean Diapole is apparently flirting with record positive territory atm, which, id assume adds more credit to the BOMs thoughts. 

Indeed.... looks a bit grim ! There is near record breaking heat over the North Western Top End and the Kimberley districts at the moment.
The Air Force Base at Tindal, 10klm south of Katherine ( 300klm inland of Darwin ) peaked at 42.7c (  about 109f ). That was an October  record in 34 years of data.  Generally speaking. stations at 14.5*S do not record the extremes of the higher latitudes. The IOD is certainly a driver re Northern Australian weather and combined with SST anomalies in region, well it doesn't bode well for our coming wet season. We had a failed wet last season and two below average seasons in a row could well mean water restrictions in the Top End next 'dry'.
Even coastal Darwin has a 36c forecast on Sunday, with the rural inland areas forecast up to 41c.

[greysrigging]

Actually Silas_Sancona Nathan, i've been having a discussion on a local FB weather page re the brutally hot summers you guys in the Phoenix region endure, particularly the one just gone. Australia's centers of heat are generally in remote sparsely populated regions, Ie the Pilbara in WA, North Western Queensland and northern South Australia and NSW. 
For example, Marble Bar last summer maximums averaged 43.7c, 43.4c and 44.1c for Dec, Jan and Feb, Birdsville in Queensland  38.9c, 44.0c and 38.2c.
As I explained to folks here,  Greater Phoenix has a population of 1.8 million ? These Aussie hot spots have a population of 1.8 billion flies and a couple of hundred people each ! It would be like having a City the size of Perth or Adelaide in the middle of the Tanami or Simpson Deserts !